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Denmark Fourth Division. Matchday 15

Otterup vs Allerød analysis

Otterup Allerød
10 ELO 4
36% Tilt 69%
10818º General ELO ranking 12971º
95º Country ELO ranking 136º
ELO win probability
44.1%
Otterup
22.2%
Draw
33.7%
Allerød

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
Otterup
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
33.7%
Win probability
Allerød
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Otterup
+12%
+49%
Allerød

Points and table prediction

Otterup
Their league position
Allerød
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
35
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Herlev
40
41
100%
Ledøje-Smørum Fodbold
37
37
50%
GVI
37
37
50%
Allerød
35
35
100%
B 1908
34
34
100%
Greve
32
32
100%
Taastrup FC
25
25
100%
Skjold Birkerød
22
22
100%
Otterup
18
18
100%
Vordingborg
10º
17
17
10º
100%
RB 1906
11º
8
10
11º
100%
Expected probabilities
Otterup
Allerød
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 100%
Relegation playoffs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Otterup
OTB
Allerød
ALL
Skjold Birkerød
SKJ
RB 1906
RBA
Vordingborg
VIF
Taastrup FC
TAA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Otterup
Otterup
1%
X%
2%
ELO OTB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2020
HER
Herlev
2 - 0
Otterup
OTB
41%
28%
31%
155 33 -122 -1
17 Oct. 2020
OTB
Otterup
1 - 1
GVI
GVI
46%
27%
26%
155 96 59 0
10 Oct. 2020
OTB
Otterup
5 - 0
Skjold Birkerød
SKJ
47%
27%
26%
154 59 95 +1
03 Oct. 2020
B19
B 1908
4 - 1
Otterup
OTB
46%
27%
27%
155 149 -6 -1
26 Sep. 2020
OTB
Otterup
3 - 2
Greve
GRE
46%
27%
28%
154 181 -27 +1

Matches

Allerød
Allerød
1%
X%
2%
ELO ALL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2021
B19
B 1908
2 - 1
Allerød
ALL
46%
27%
26%
74 149 75 0
24 Oct. 2020
ALL
Allerød
3 - 2
Greve
GRE
41%
28%
31%
72 183 -111 +1
17 Oct. 2020
VIF
Vordingborg
4 - 4
Allerød
ALL
47%
27%
26%
72 121 49 0
10 Oct. 2020
ALL
Allerød
2 - 0
Taastrup FC
TAA
46%
27%
27%
71 90 -19 +1
07 Oct. 2020
ALL
Allerød
1 - 2
AB Copenhagen
AKA
39%
27%
34%
75 346 -271 -4