Otago United vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 3
OTA
61%
20%
18%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OTA
0 - 6
WAI
21%
24%
54%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TEA
2 - 2
OTA
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
OTA
1 - 2
WAI
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAN
3 - 1
OTA
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
HAW
3 - 0
CAN
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
HAW
2 - 2
MAN
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
WAI
3 - 0
HAW
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
HAW
1 - 1
WAI
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TEA
1 - 3
HAW
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |