Ostrovets vs ABFF U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1153%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
11º
10º
21
4º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 68 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 67 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 61 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 61 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 59 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 55 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 53 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 47 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 43 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 36 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 31 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 30 |
16º
|
36% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 21 |
17º
|
44.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostrovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
UNI
3 - 1
OFC
38%
24%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
OFC
2 - 1
OSI
86%
10%
4%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FCN
2 - 1
OFC
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
GAV
0 - 6
OFC
33%
20%
47%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
OFC
2 - 1
BAT
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ABFF U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
ABF
1 - 3
VOL
20%
23%
57%
|
23 | 63 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
ABF
0 - 1
BAR
19%
22%
59%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ABF
2 - 2
ORS
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 2
ABF
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 54 | 32 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
ABF
3 - 2
OSI
13%
15%
72%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +2 |