Ostia Mare vs Sporting Trestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ULD
2 - 1
OST
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
OST
19%
22%
60%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
OST
1 - 0
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
OST
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
OST
2 - 0
AVE
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
RIE
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 3
MON
20%
23%
56%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SPO
63%
23%
14%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SPO
7 - 0
FOL
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
SAN
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |