Ostia Mare vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 0
OST
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
OST
2 - 2
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ULD
0 - 1
OST
20%
21%
59%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
APR
2 - 2
OST
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
OST
3 - 2
FLA
62%
21%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
APR
1 - 0
NUO
41%
24%
34%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BUD
0 - 0
APR
36%
26%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
APR
3 - 2
TRA
28%
23%
50%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
APR
2 - 2
OST
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
APR
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |