Ostbahn XI vs Donaufeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FIR
1 - 5
OST
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
OST
2 - 0
AUS
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
OST
9 - 0
MAN
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GER
0 - 3
OST
21%
23%
57%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
OST
1 - 2
STA
43%
25%
33%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DON
5 - 1
GER
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
STA
1 - 2
DON
40%
25%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DON
4 - 2
TEA
62%
20%
19%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
GER
1 - 3
DON
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
DON
4 - 2
FAV
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |