OSS '20 vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
61.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
HEL
3 - 0
OSS
21%
22%
57%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
DET
0 - 1
OSS
22%
21%
57%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
OSS
3 - 1
GRO
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
HSC
0 - 3
OSS
24%
22%
54%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
OSS
0 - 2
DEM
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
GNK
4 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 0
MVV
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
EIN
3 - 1
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
EXC
6 - 4
BOS
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 3
ALK
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |