OSS '20 vs Caesar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 0
OSS
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
BSV
2 - 1
OSS
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
OSS
3 - 0
WIT
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
RVU
2 - 1
OSS
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MEE
0 - 3
OSS
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Caesar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 1
RKS
11%
18%
71%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TOP
2 - 2
CAE
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 1
HVC
14%
21%
65%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 2
HVV
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAE
2 - 3
SPA
15%
20%
65%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |