NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
9º
7º
37
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
DZG
2 - 0
OSI
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
HNS
4 - 1
OSI
17%
24%
58%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
SLA
0 - 0
OSI
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
IST
2 - 1
OSI
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
OSI
0 - 0
NKV
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
HNG
3 - 2
IST
34%
29%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
NKV
0 - 0
HNG
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
LOK
1 - 1
HNG
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
RAD
0 - 3
HNG
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
HNG
0 - 3
SLA
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |