Orusco vs Estremera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orusco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 2
ORU
59%
18%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
BOC
1 - 1
ORU
34%
21%
46%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ORU
1 - 1
CAR
73%
15%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 2
ORU
28%
20%
52%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ORU
3 - 1
RIV
61%
18%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Estremera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
EST
0 - 4
VIL
51%
19%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PEN
1 - 4
EST
59%
18%
23%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
EST
1 - 6
CAR
9%
13%
78%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
TFU
4 - 0
EST
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
EST
1 - 4
VAL
24%
20%
56%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |