Orpesa vs Esportiu Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 0
ORP
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ORP
1 - 0
PTQ
69%
17%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
ORP
14%
20%
65%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ORP
2 - 3
CDB
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ORP
3 - 1
TRR
55%
22%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Esportiu Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 2
TRR
50%
21%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
CHE
3 - 4
ESP
7%
12%
80%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 4
ODI
39%
21%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 3
ESP
38%
22%
40%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
4 - 3
VAL
34%
22%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |