Oropesa vs Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
69.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oropesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PTO
5 - 1
ORO
61%
20%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FUE
3 - 0
ORO
71%
17%
12%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ORO
2 - 2
GUA
41%
23%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ORO
0 - 3
CAM
47%
23%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ORO
1 - 0
PUE
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
4 - 1
CTI
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
7 - 1
PUE
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
VSA
1 - 1
CAL
37%
24%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ORG
0 - 2
CAL
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
7 - 1
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |