MTN8 Cup South Africa Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2025 |
MIL
2 - 1
PIR
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
PIR
0 - 1
SUF
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
PIR
2 - 0
POL
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
GRA
0 - 2
PIR
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
PIR
0 - 0
UDL
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2025 |
SUN
2 - 0
AMA
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 1
SUN
32%
29%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
SUN
4 - 0
RIB
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
SUN
0 - 0
FLU
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
SUN
3 - 4
BVB
5%
11%
84%
|
74 | 99 | 25 | 0 |