Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
SSU
3 - 2
PIR
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
PIR
2 - 2
SSU
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 4
PIR
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 0
PIR
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
PIR
0 - 0
MAR
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
PRE
2 - 1
GOL
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 0
COS
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
GOL
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 0
FRE
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
MPU
2 - 4
GOL
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |