Norwegian Fourth Division Group 4 Round 15

Orkla vs Rosenborg II analysis

Orkla Rosenborg II
22 ELO 28
28.7% Tilt 12.4%
12184º General ELO ranking 7911º
177º Country ELO ranking 106º
ELO win probability
37.3%
Orkla
19.8%
Draw
42.9%
Rosenborg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
Orkla
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
42.9%
Win probability
Rosenborg II
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
7%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
2.1%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Orkla
-45%
+89%
Rosenborg II

Points and table prediction

Orkla
Their league position
Rosenborg II
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
13º
13º
35
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Rana FK
62
62
100%
Nardo
59
59
100%
Trygg/Lade
54
54
100%
Melhus
42
42
100%
Strømsgodset II
40
40
100%
Lillestrom II
38
38
0%
Tiller IL
38
38
0%
Rosenborg II
35
35
100%
Stabæk II
32
32
100%
Byåsen
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Surnadal
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Verdal
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Orkla
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Mosjøen
14º
10
10
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Orkla
Rosenborg II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Orkla
Rosenborg II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Orkla
Orkla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2024
TIL
Tiller IL
2 - 1
Orkla
ORK
66%
18%
16%
23 32 9 0
24 Jul. 2024
ORK
Orkla
1 - 2
Trygg/Lade
SKT
36%
21%
43%
24 35 11 -1
22 Jun. 2024
VER
Verdal
2 - 2
Orkla
ORK
40%
22%
38%
24 22 2 0
16 Jun. 2024
ORK
Orkla
0 - 3
Rana FK
RFK
24%
19%
57%
25 42 17 -1
08 Jun. 2024
ROS
Rosenborg II
3 - 0
Orkla
ORK
49%
20%
31%
26 25 1 -1

Matches

Rosenborg II
Rosenborg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2024
ROS
Rosenborg II
2 - 1
Mosjøen
MOS
80%
12%
8%
27 18 9 0
22 Jul. 2024
SUR
Surnadal
0 - 4
Rosenborg II
ROS
15%
16%
69%
26 18 8 +1
23 Jun. 2024
ROS
Rosenborg II
0 - 1
Nardo
NAR
18%
19%
64%
27 44 17 -1
15 Jun. 2024
TIL
Tiller IL
2 - 2
Rosenborg II
ROS
48%
21%
30%
27 30 3 0
08 Jun. 2024
ROS
Rosenborg II
3 - 0
Orkla
ORK
49%
20%
31%
25 26 1 +2