Apertura Ascenso MX Round 6

Orizaba vs Venados FC analysis

Orizaba Venados FC
60 ELO 70
-15.4% Tilt -0.4%
27069º General ELO ranking 1156º
149º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
22.5%
Orizaba
26.6%
Draw
50.9%
Venados FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
Orizaba
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50.9%
Win probability
Venados FC
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Orizaba
Venados FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Orizaba
Orizaba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2009
TIJ
Tijuana
3 - 1
Orizaba
ORI
61%
23%
16%
59 69 10 0
22 Aug. 2009
UAT
Correcaminos UAT
3 - 1
Orizaba
ORI
62%
22%
16%
60 67 7 -1
16 Aug. 2009
ORI
Orizaba
1 - 1
Reboceros de la Piedad
REB
38%
28%
34%
60 61 1 0
09 Aug. 2009
LEO
León
1 - 0
Orizaba
ORI
70%
19%
11%
60 71 11 0
02 Aug. 2009
ORI
Orizaba
1 - 1
Pumas Morelos
PUM
29%
29%
43%
60 68 8 0

Matches

Venados FC
Venados FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2009
MER
Venados FC
0 - 2
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
55%
25%
20%
71 68 3 0
23 Aug. 2009
REB
Reboceros de la Piedad
2 - 2
Venados FC
MER
29%
27%
44%
71 61 10 0
16 Aug. 2009
MER
Venados FC
2 - 0
León
LEO
43%
26%
31%
71 71 0 0
08 Aug. 2009
PUM
Pumas Morelos
1 - 1
Venados FC
MER
45%
27%
29%
71 68 3 0
30 May. 2009
MER
Venados FC
1 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
47%
23%
29%
68 65 3 +3