Orillamar SD vs Victoria CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
68.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orillamar SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
ORI
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
5 - 2
ORI
74%
15%
11%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ORI
3 - 4
CED
52%
22%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MIN
4 - 0
ORI
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ORI
0 - 6
EST
58%
21%
22%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Victoria CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIC
3 - 2
IMP
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VIC
3 - 2
SPA
74%
16%
11%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
UDC
0 - 3
VIC
36%
24%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIC
3 - 1
BOI
48%
22%
30%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CDM
0 - 2
VIC
32%
23%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |