HNK Orijent Rijeka vs NK Jarun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
12º
11º
40
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
DUB
3 - 2
ORI
49%
23%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ZMI
6 - 2
ORI
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 2
NKD
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
NKR
1 - 1
ORI
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 3
HNK
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
NKJ
0 - 1
ZRI
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
NKJ
0 - 3
HNS
22%
26%
52%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 1
NKJ
41%
25%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NKJ
0 - 3
VUK
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BIJ
0 - 0
NKJ
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |