Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
8º
16º
10º
20
4º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 44 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 37 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 26 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
33% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 21 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 19 |
15º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AUR
5 - 1
OPE
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
BLO
2 - 2
OPE
43%
23%
35%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
DRT
4 - 3
OPE
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
OPE
1 - 4
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
STR
6 - 2
OPE
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Vinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
UDV
4 - 2
GUA
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
UDV
0 - 1
NAC
33%
24%
43%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
UDV
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
UDV
1 - 1
JWI
40%
29%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BOL
5 - 1
UDV
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |