Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
REA
5 - 0
OPE
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
OPE
1 - 2
BOL
23%
22%
54%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
BLO
3 - 2
OPE
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
OPE
0 - 2
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 2
OPE
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 2
RPO
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
ROY
2 - 1
AUR
60%
22%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 1
GUA
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 1
REA
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
BOL
6 - 3
AUR
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |