Oriental vs Villa Teresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HFC
3 - 1
ORI
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
ORI
0 - 5
PRO
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ATE
3 - 1
ORI
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ORI
2 - 0
CEL
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
REN
4 - 1
ORI
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
HFC
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 1
VIL
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
ATE
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 0
VIL
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 2
REN
50%
24%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |