Oriental vs Montevideo City Torque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
4 - 3
ORI
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ATE
1 - 2
ORI
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ORI
3 - 1
BOS
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 0
CAN
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 3
ORI
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
PRO
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CEL
3 - 2
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 0
ROC
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
4 - 1
ATE
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
3 - 1
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |