Oriental vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
TAC
0 - 1
ORI
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CSM
3 - 1
ORI
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 0
DEP
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CSC
1 - 0
ORI
44%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
ORI
2 - 2
TOR
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CEL
4 - 0
CSM
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 2
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
CEL
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
CEL
2 - 2
REN
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TAC
0 - 0
CEL
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |