Oriental vs Basáñez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CSY
2 - 1
ORI
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
7 - 2
POT
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
ORI
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 2
CSY
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 0
ALB
59%
20%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 1
POT
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CSY
2 - 1
BAS
52%
24%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
ORI
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
POT
1 - 4
BAS
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 0
UMO
43%
23%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |