Oriental Lisboa vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PIN
0 - 0
ORI
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 0
ORI
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ORI
4 - 0
CFB
74%
16%
9%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
1DE
0 - 1
ORI
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ORI
1 - 0
UDL
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FAT
3 - 3
MAF
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
1DE
0 - 0
FAT
42%
27%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FAT
3 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
QUA
0 - 1
FAT
27%
26%
48%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 2
FAR
22%
28%
50%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |