Oriental Lisboa vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ARM
2 - 0
ORI
8%
15%
77%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIA
2 - 7
ORI
11%
17%
72%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ORI
3 - 1
ALJ
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 1
LOU
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 3
ORI
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 1
ALJ
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 1
FAB
71%
19%
10%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FAB
2 - 4
CAS
18%
25%
57%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FAB
0 - 1
SIN
19%
24%
58%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VIA
3 - 3
FAB
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |