Oriental Lisboa vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
REA
1 - 1
ORI
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ORI
2 - 0
IDE
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ORI
3 - 4
ARM
66%
21%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SIN
1 - 0
ORI
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ORI
1 - 0
ALJ
76%
17%
7%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ALV
7 - 1
FAB
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ALV
3 - 0
SAC
55%
23%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
AMO
0 - 2
ALV
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 0
SAC
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LGC
2 - 2
ALV
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |