Örgryte vs Helsingborgs IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
5º
3º
12
8º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 63 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 52 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
|
2º
|
22 | 51 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 51 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 49 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 45 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 45 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 42 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 40 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 38 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 34 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 33 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 30 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 22 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 20 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
32% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
ORG
2 - 0
TRE
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
UME
3 - 3
ORG
22%
24%
53%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
ORG
4 - 0
SAN
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
ORG
5 - 1
VAR
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
LAN
1 - 1
ORG
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Helsingborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
HEL
0 - 0
OST
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
TRE
0 - 0
HEL
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2025 |
HEL
0 - 2
IKO
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
LAN
3 - 3
HEL
50%
24%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
HEL
1 - 0
IKB
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |