Örgryte vs Helsingborgs IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
2º
26
7º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 59 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
|
1º
|
35 | 56 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 46 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 44 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 44 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 41 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 37 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
14º
|
63.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 17 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
52% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
26% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
KAL
2 - 3
ORG
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
IKB
3 - 2
ORG
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
ORG
2 - 0
TRE
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
UME
3 - 3
ORG
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
ORG
4 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Helsingborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
HEL
5 - 1
UME
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FAL
2 - 2
HEL
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
HEL
0 - 0
OST
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
TRE
0 - 0
HEL
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2025 |
HEL
0 - 2
IKO
39%
27%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |