Orenburg II vs Zvezda Perm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
70%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
LAD
0 - 0
ORE
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
ORE
3 - 7
TYU
7%
15%
78%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
ORE
1 - 2
FST
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
VOL
1 - 1
ORE
77%
17%
6%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
URA
1 - 2
ORE
82%
11%
6%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Zvezda Perm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VOL
3 - 0
ZPM
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
FST
3 - 2
ZPM
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ZPM
2 - 0
NOS
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
DIN
3 - 1
ZPM
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
IRT
1 - 0
ZPM
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |