Orenburg II vs Tyumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
74.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
11º
9º
49
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 4
PER
6%
19%
76%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ZEN
2 - 2
ORE
53%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 0
MIA
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FKK
1 - 2
ORE
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ORE
1 - 1
FCN
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Tyumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
TYU
4 - 0
IRT
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TYU
1 - 0
DIN
84%
12%
5%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NOS
0 - 2
TYU
7%
15%
78%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MIA
0 - 4
TYU
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
URA
2 - 2
TYU
12%
19%
70%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | +1 |