FK Orel vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
ORE
66%
20%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
ORE
2 - 0
SPA
51%
23%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
FCM
2 - 0
ORE
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
ORE
1 - 2
MET
22%
25%
53%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ORE
1 - 1
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 1
MET
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
ZVE
1 - 2
ARS
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 0
KAL
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
ZEN
0 - 0
ARS
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ARS
4 - 0
POD
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +2 |