Orcasitas vs Atlético de Pinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+283%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orcasitas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
PBO
0 - 3
ORC
26%
27%
48%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ORC
0 - 0
RMC
34%
27%
39%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
STA
1 - 1
ORC
52%
25%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ORC
2 - 1
ARA
46%
27%
27%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ATM
0 - 0
ORC
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético de Pinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
PNT
3 - 0
SFN
45%
27%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
MST
2 - 1
PNT
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 1
PNT
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PNT
5 - 2
PBO
76%
16%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
RMC
1 - 2
PNT
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |