Oranje Nassau vs Leeuwarder Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.8%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.1%
2.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oranje Nassau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VEE
0 - 2
ORA
10%
16%
74%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 1
ORA
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ORA
2 - 1
CVV
83%
11%
5%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ORA
1 - 1
ASV
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ORA
4 - 0
OLD
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LEE
1 - 0
SVB
21%
22%
58%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
OLD
5 - 1
LEE
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LEE
1 - 3
PKC
7%
12%
81%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 1
LEE
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LEE
1 - 0
GGE
52%
22%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |