Oppsal vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
11º
6º
26
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 64 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 59 |
2º
|
66% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 44 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 40 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 39 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 36 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 30 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 30 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 19 |
14º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oppsal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
DRO
1 - 1
OPP
20%
19%
61%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
OPP
0 - 3
STA
55%
20%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
ODD
0 - 1
OPP
39%
21%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
PGE
1 - 3
OPP
23%
19%
58%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
OPP
1 - 2
FRA
15%
20%
65%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
SAR
2 - 3
FRA
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
IFR
2 - 1
SAR
26%
20%
53%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
SAR
2 - 1
PGE
79%
12%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
LOK
0 - 0
SAR
28%
24%
49%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
SAR
3 - 1
ORN
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |