Operário vs Carapinheirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SER
1 - 3
OPE
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ANM
1 - 5
OPE
10%
19%
71%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
OPE
3 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 0
OPE
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 2
BEN
42%
29%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
5 - 0
ANM
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
IDE
4 - 1
CAR
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 2
OLE
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FAT
2 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
SER
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +1 |