Operário vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 1
OPE
18%
21%
61%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 1
SAB
72%
18%
9%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 1
OPE
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 0
PAM
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 0
OPE
13%
22%
65%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ADN
4 - 1
PAM
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ADN
3 - 0
ACA
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TOU
4 - 3
ADN
34%
28%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ADN
2 - 1
SAB
57%
21%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
IDE
2 - 0
ADN
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |