Operário PR vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
2 - 2
OPE
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 2
IRA
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COT
4 - 1
OPE
89%
9%
3%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 2
LON
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 2
OPE
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 3
ATP
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 0
ACP
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 3
TCW
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
ACP
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 3
CIA
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |