Operário MS vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1984 |
OPE
1 - 1
FLA
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
OPE
2 - 0
GOI
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1984 |
FLA
3 - 2
OPE
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
OPE
1 - 1
PAL
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
BRA
0 - 2
OPE
28%
28%
44%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
BRA
0 - 2
GOI
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
PAL
4 - 0
BRA
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1984 |
GOI
4 - 1
BRA
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1984 |
BRA
0 - 2
FLA
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
BRA
0 - 2
OPE
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |