ONS Sneek vs Leeuwarder Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
5º
2º
27
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 82% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ONS Sneek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TFE
0 - 6
ONS
3%
7%
90%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ONS
1 - 2
BRO
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ORA
2 - 3
ONS
29%
21%
50%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ONS
5 - 3
PKC
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ONS
1 - 2
NOO
82%
11%
7%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LEE
4 - 2
GOR
59%
19%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PEL
7 - 2
LEE
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LEE
2 - 2
WIN
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VVG
5 - 5
LEE
33%
21%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
LEE
9 - 1
VVG
60%
20%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |