Once Caldas vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 4
ONC
23%
25%
53%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
ONC
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
ONC
1 - 0
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
ONC
3 - 3
CAL
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
ONC
19%
23%
59%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 2
VAL
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 1
PAS
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
5 - 0
MIL
54%
24%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 2
BOG
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |