Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
AME
3 - 0
ONC
44%
28%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
ONC
0 - 0
JUN
44%
29%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SFE
2 - 1
ONC
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ONC
0 - 2
FOR
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 1
ONC
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 1
TOL
32%
29%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 0
ENV
54%
26%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 1
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 1
ONC
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |