Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ONC
4 - 0
JAG
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
ONC
0 - 0
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 3
ONC
26%
28%
47%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ONC
0 - 0
PAS
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
ONC
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
TOL
26%
29%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
PER
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
5 - 1
TOL
45%
28%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 3
AGU
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |