Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
2º
2º
73
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
73 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omonia Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
OMO
2 - 1
ANO
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
OMO
3 - 1
AEZ
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 2
OMO
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OMO
1 - 0
OTH
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 2
OMO
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 1
ARI
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
APO
2 - 1
AEK
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAP
0 - 1
AEK
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
ANO
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
AEL
2 - 3
AEK
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |