NCAA Division I Men's Soccer Tournament . 1/32

Omaha Mavericks vs UNCG analysis

Omaha Mavericks UNCG
28 ELO 29
-2.5% Tilt -0.4%
45937º General ELO ranking 45935º
798º Country ELO ranking 796º
ELO win probability
38.9%
Omaha Mavericks
22.4%
Draw
38.7%
UNCG

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
Omaha Mavericks
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
38.7%
Win probability
UNCG
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Omaha Mavericks
UNCG
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Omaha Mavericks
Omaha Mavericks
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2021
ORB
Oral Roberts
1 - 2
Omaha Mavericks
OMC
58%
20%
22%
26 30 4 0
01 Apr. 2021
OMC
Omaha Mavericks
1 - 1
Oral Roberts
ORB
40%
23%
38%
26 30 4 0
25 Mar. 2021
KCR
Kansas City
2 - 1
Omaha Mavericks
OMC
35%
22%
43%
27 23 4 -1
20 Mar. 2021
OMC
Omaha Mavericks
2 - 0
Eastern Illinois
ETI
86%
10%
5%
27 13 14 0
18 Mar. 2021
OMC
Omaha Mavericks
2 - 0
Eastern Illinois
ETI
86%
10%
5%
26 13 13 +1

Matches

UNCG
UNCG
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2021
UNC
UNCG
1 - 0
Belmont
BBR
57%
20%
23%
30 27 3 0
10 Apr. 2021
UNC
UNCG
2 - 1
ETSU
ETS
65%
18%
17%
30 24 6 0
03 Apr. 2021
UNC
UNCG
0 - 0
ETSU
ETS
66%
18%
17%
30 24 6 0
30 Mar. 2021
WFT
Wofford
0 - 1
UNCG
UNC
13%
17%
70%
30 15 15 0
27 Mar. 2021
UNC
UNCG
3 - 2
Belmont
BBR
54%
21%
25%
29 27 2 +1
X