Olympique Marseille vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
FEN
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 0
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
NIC
65%
21%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
MON
60%
23%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 2
MAR
18%
25%
58%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
BAT
0 - 2
LIL
27%
26%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 0
LIL
25%
27%
48%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 0
BRE
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
BYM
6 - 1
LIL
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ETG
0 - 2
LIL
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |