Inter-Cities Fairs Cup . 1/32
Global 2-2
Olympique Marseille vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
MAR
5 - 0
ANG
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1970 |
ASN
2 - 0
MAR
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
FCS
2 - 0
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1970 |
MAR
5 - 1
ANG
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
MAR
5 - 0
SED
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
FCS
2 - 0
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
GAL
1 - 0
FCS
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
FCS
1 - 0
GAL
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
FCS
4 - 0
HIB
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
HIB
2 - 2
FCS
37%
22%
41%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |