French League U19 Group D Round 19

Olympique Marseille U19 vs Ajaccio U19 analysis

Olympique Marseille U19 Ajaccio U19
37 ELO 31
7.5% Tilt -5.7%
5788º General ELO ranking 8520º
147º Country ELO ranking 291º
ELO win probability
64.1%
Olympique Marseille U19
18.7%
Draw
17.3%
Ajaccio U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
Olympique Marseille U19
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.3%
Win probability
Ajaccio U19
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Olympique Marseille U19
+13%
-30%
Ajaccio U19

Points and table prediction

Olympique Marseille U19
Their league position
Ajaccio U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
33
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Olympique Marseille U19
52
52
100%
Montpellier U19
46
46
100%
Rodez U19
45
45
100%
Monaco U19
40
40
100%
Air Bel U19
40
40
100%
Saint-Etienne U19
39
39
100%
Marignane Gignac U19
36
36
100%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
36
36
100%
Nice U19
35
35
100%
Toulouse U19
10º
34
34
10º
100%
Ajaccio U19
11º
33
33
11º
100%
Bastia U19
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Colomiers U19
14º
20
20
13º
100%
Béziers U19
13º
20
20
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Olympique Marseille U19
Ajaccio U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Olympique Marseille U19
Ajaccio U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Olympique Marseille U19
Olympique Marseille U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2024
NIC
Nice U19
1 - 0
Olympique Marseille U19
OLY
35%
23%
42%
37 31 6 0
28 Jan. 2024
OLY
Olympique Marseille U19
2 - 1
Monaco U19
MON
38%
22%
41%
36 39 3 +1
21 Jan. 2024
BEZ
Béziers U19
2 - 2
Olympique Marseille U19
OLY
19%
22%
59%
37 25 12 -1
17 Dec. 2023
OLY
Olympique Marseille U19
4 - 2
Colomiers U19
COL
67%
18%
15%
36 31 5 +1
13 Dec. 2023
AJA
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
1 - 2
Olympique Marseille U19
OLY
23%
21%
56%
35 22 13 +1

Matches

Ajaccio U19
Ajaccio U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2024
TOU
Toulouse U19
0 - 3
Ajaccio U19
AJA
51%
22%
26%
30 31 1 0
21 Jan. 2024
AJA
Ajaccio U19
0 - 2
Marignane Gignac U19
MGG
53%
22%
25%
31 27 4 -1
17 Dec. 2023
BAS
Bastia U19
2 - 0
Ajaccio U19
AJA
29%
23%
48%
33 26 7 -2
03 Dec. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio U19
2 - 0
Montpellier U19
MON
31%
24%
45%
30 37 7 +3
26 Nov. 2023
ETI
Saint-Etienne U19
0 - 1
Ajaccio U19
AJA
70%
17%
13%
29 39 10 +1