ASOM vs CO Bamako analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASOM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2013 |
USF
0 - 0
OLY
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
ONZ
0 - 1
OLY
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
OLY
0 - 0
CSK
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
OLY
2 - 0
OFF
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DUG
1 - 0
OLY
46%
29%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CO Bamako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2013 |
BAM
1 - 0
STA
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
ASR
0 - 1
BAM
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
DJO
1 - 0
BAM
44%
28%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BAM
1 - 1
CSK
43%
29%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
BAM
1 - 0
ASN
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |