Olympic Mahina vs Vénus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.5%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
83%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
6.6%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
18.1%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
4.3%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
13.1%
0-5
5%
1-6
2.3%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
7.8%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-111%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
6º
11º
12º
27
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
OFC Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympic Mahina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PIR
17 - 0
OLY
94%
4%
2%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
DRA
3 - 0
OLY
91%
6%
3%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 11
TEM
21%
19%
61%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PUN
4 - 1
OLY
79%
12%
9%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 3
ASJ
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vénus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VEN
5 - 1
PUE
71%
15%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TEF
1 - 0
VEN
45%
19%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VEN
9 - 0
TFC
83%
11%
7%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
DRA
1 - 0
VEN
50%
19%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ASJ
0 - 15
VEN
7%
10%
83%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |