UCL Qualifying Third Stage Final
Global 1-3
Olympiacos vs Anorthosis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
ANO
3 - 0
OLP
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
ARI
0 - 2
OLP
17%
20%
63%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
OLP
3 - 1
IRA
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
OLP
3 - 1
THR
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
XAN
1 - 4
OLP
25%
26%
48%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Anorthosis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
APO
2 - 1
ANO
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
ANO
3 - 0
OLP
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
RAP
3 - 1
ANO
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
ANO
3 - 0
RAP
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
PYU
0 - 2
ANO
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |